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EconomyLiveResolves Dec 31, 2026

Largest Company end of December 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
73.5¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
3.5¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$752.7K
order-book depth
24h Volume
$28.9K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$8.3K
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
3
2 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
99%
of tracked capital

Price History

NVIDIAAlphabetAppleWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
22¢41¢60¢80¢Nov 13Jan 26Apr 10Jun 23BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60BUY YES · 0xb47a...6d60

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 5 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

123 tracked fills

Tracked smart money is net buying ($8.3K net), leaning YES. Largest single move: a rank-#69 wallet bought $1.6K YES at 66¢ on May 27.

Holder Concentration

0xb47a...6d60#69
99.4%$74.1K
42021#86
0.5%$341.2
cry.eth2#44
0.2%$133.1

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.99). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K
−$5K…−$1K
−$1K…−$100
1
≈ flat
2
$100…$1K
$1K…$5K
≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 2 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $410.4 across 3 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount67% / 33%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill70% / 30%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills
ContactSideStateSizeAvg EntryValueP/LFirst BuyLast Trade
@cry.eth2
Rank #447.5 SIG
YESopen58422.8¢$429+$296 +222.5%
0xb47a...6d60
Rank #697.3 SIG
YESopen101,119.273.3¢$74,323+$188 +0.3%May 14, 2026Jun 21, 2026
@42021
Rank #866.3 SIG
NOopen1,009.0733.8¢$267-$74 -21.6%Jun 4, 2026