Venezuela leader end of 2026?
View on PolymarketYES Price
74.1¢
implied probability
24h Drift
-0.1¢
day-over-day
Volatility
3.6¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$1.7M
order-book depth
24h Volume
$58.7K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
2
1 YES · 1 NO
Top Holder
100%
of tracked capital
Price History
Nicolás MaduroDelcy RodríguezMaría Corina MachadoWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 1 regime shift flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).
Whale Activity
No tracked whale trades in this market yet.
Holder Concentration
0xbd27...2807#13
100.0%$192.6
0x02a1...dd72#61
0.0%$0.1
How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 1.00). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.
Participant P/L
Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 0 winning, 1 losing (win rate 0%); net -$132.8 across 2 wallets.
Smart-Money Lean
By headcount50% / 50%
one wallet, one vote
By capital0% / 100%
weighted by committed $
By skill44% / 56%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits
Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.
Contacts on Station
| Contact | Side | State | Size | Avg Entry | Value | P/L | First Buy | Last Trade | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbd27...2807 Rank #139.5 SIG | NO | open | 221.39 | 87.0¢ | $57 | -$135 -70.3% | Apr 17, 2026 | Apr 17, 2026 | |
| 0x02a1...dd72 Rank #617.4 SIG | YES | open | 3.61 | 1.5¢ | $3 | +$3 +4910.1% | — | — |