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SportsLiveResolves Jul 12, 2026

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

View on Polymarket
YES Price
57.5¢
implied probability
24h Drift
0.0¢
day-over-day
Volatility
2.4¢
daily price swing (σ)
Liquidity
$1.8M
order-book depth
24h Volume
$345.7K
traded last day
Smart $ Net
$0
tracked buy − sell
Tracked Wallets
2
2 YES · 0 NO
Top Holder
93%
of tracked capital

Price History

Jannik SinnerNovak DjokovicAlexander ZverevWhale buyWhale sellRegime shift
18¢35¢53¢71¢Jan 3Mar 1Apr 27Jun 23

YES implied probability over time (intraday resolution), with tracked whale trades overlaid at their YES-equivalent price so buys/sells sit on the line (marker size ∝ trade value). 6 regime shifts flagged — days where the consensus moved more than 2.5σ (likely news shocks).

Whale Activity

0 tracked fills

No tracked whale trades in this market yet.

Holder Concentration

0x53eCc53E7#68
92.6%$1.4K
cry.eth2#44
7.4%$107.2

How committed capital is distributed. Top-5 wallets hold 100% of tracked capital (HHI 0.86). A high HHI means a few big convictions drive this market.

Participant P/L

≤ −$5K
−$5K…−$1K
−$1K…−$100
1
≈ flat
1
$100…$1K
$1K…$5K
≥ $5K

Distribution of tracked wallets’ P/L in this market. 1 winning, 0 losing (win rate 100%); net $334.8 across 2 wallets.

Smart-Money Lean

By headcount100% / 0%
one wallet, one vote
By capital100% / 0%
weighted by committed $
By skill100% / 0%
weighted by skill score — where the sharpest money sits

Three views of which side tracked traders favor. When the skill-weighted lean diverges from the headcount, the most proven wallets disagree with the crowd.

Contacts on Station

leaderboard wallets in this market · click a row for fills
ContactSideStateSizeAvg EntryValueP/LFirst BuyLast Trade
@cry.eth2
Rank #447.5 SIG
YESopen677.7515.8¢$390+$282 +263.5%
@0x53eCc53E7
Rank #686.8 SIG
YESopen2,439.7455.4¢$1,403+$52 +3.9%